Rancho Palos Verdes – Socal Political News

The 66th Assembly District falls entirely within the boundaries of Los Angeles County. Al Muratsuchi (D) is the incumbent in this race. This seat also changed hands a couple of times. Muratsuchi won in 2012, David Hadley took the seat in 2014, Muratsuchi took the seat back in 2016, and Muratsuchi retained in 2018.

This district shows the following party registration for the three largest political groups (the source is http://www.l2political.com):

Republican- 27.3%
Democrat- 42.3%
NPP- 25.2%

For some reason a Democrat chose to challenge Muratsuchi in the 2018 primary. Here are the result for the June 2018 race:

Al Muratsuchi (D)- 50.9%
Caney Arnold (D)- 6.0%
Frank Scotto (R)- 43.2%

We saw a total of 94,315 ballots cast in the primary. This seat is definitely continuing to tilt further to the left. In November, Muratsuchi won by a margin of 60.5% to 39.5%.

2020 does not appear to be much better for the Republican turnout model. Here are the March 2020 results:

Al Muratsuchi (D)- 66.2%
Arthur Schaper (R)- 33.8%

125,708 ballots were cast in this race. This seat has had a record of strong turnout when compared to most other seats.

We will now see a rematch between Al Muratsuchi (D) and Arthur Schaper (R). Muratsuchi is the elected incumbent and Schaper is a conservative Republican.

This seat has slowly drifted to the left, now at a level that makes it tough to flip the seat back. I predict that Al Muratsuchi wins in November.

The 33rd Congressional District falls entirely within the boundaries of Los Angeles County. Ted Lieu (D) is the incumbent and has held the seat since 2014. He replaced Henry Waxman in this seat.

This district shows the following party registration for the three largest political groups (the source is http://www.l2political.com):

Republican- 22.7%
Democrat- 45.6%
NPP- 26.4%

Here are the 2018 primary results:

Ted Lieu (D)- 61.7%
Emory Rodgers (D)- 8.2%
Kenneth Weston Wright (R)- 30.1%

163,001 ballots were cast in this race. 69.9% of votes went to a Democrat and 30.1% of votes went to a Republican.

In spite of a crowded primary field for 2020, we still saw a Republican emerge to face Ted Lieu in November. Also, Kenneth Wright ran again; however, this time he ran as an NPP. Here are the results from the March 3 2020 election:

Liz Barris (D)- 6.7%
Albert Maxwell Goldberg (D)- 4.3%
Ted Lieu (D)- 60.0%
James Bradley (R)- 18.0%
Sara Sun Liew (R)- 6.5%
Kenneth Wright (NPP)- 4.5%

For this election, we saw 196,654 voters turnout and cast a ballot in this race. 71.0% of the vote went to a Democrat and 24.5% of the vote went to a Republican.

We will now see a November faceoff between Ted Lieu (D) and James Bradley (R). Lieu is the incumbent member of the US House of Representatives. Bradley is a US Coast Guard Veteran and does not hold office.

The registration gap is steep and resources are limited for November. I predict that Ted Lieu is going to win re-election.