Analysis Update 4-25-2020

Just to give our update on analysis postings, we have finished analyzing all Congressional, Senate, and Assembly races in SoCal. They have continued to be some of our most popular posts.

This coming week, we will begin posting analysis of all remaining races in SoCal.


Analysis Update 4-5-2020

Just to give our weekly update, we have finished analyzing all Congressional and Senate races in SoCal. They have continued to be some of our most popular posts.

This coming week, we will begin posting analysis of all State Assembly races in SoCal.


Analysis Update 3-29-2020

Just to give our weekly update, we have finished analyzing all Congressional races in SoCal. They have been some of our most popular posts.

This coming week, we will be posting analysis of all State Senate races in SoCal.


Analysis Update 3-22-2020

Just to give a quick update, we have finished about half of our posts analyzing Congressional races. We hope that you have enjoyed what has been written so far.

This coming week, we will be posting the remaining in our analysis series for Congressional races.


2020 Primary Analysis: 33rd Congressional District

The 33rd Congressional District falls entirely within the boundaries of Los Angeles County. Ted Lieu (D) is the incumbent and has held the seat since 2014. He replaced Henry Waxman in this seat.

This district shows the following party registration for the three largest political groups (the source is http://www.l2political.com):

Republican- 22.7%
Democrat- 45.6%
NPP- 26.4%

Here are the 2018 primary results:

Ted Lieu (D)- 61.7%
Emory Rodgers (D)- 8.2%
Kenneth Weston Wright (R)- 30.1%

163,001 ballots were cast in this race. 69.9% of votes went to a Democrat and 30.1% of votes went to a Republican.

In spite of a crowded primary field for 2020, we still saw a Republican emerge to face Ted Lieu in November. Also, Kenneth Wright ran again; however, this time he ran as an NPP. Here are the results from the March 3 2020 election:

Liz Barris (D)- 6.7%
Albert Maxwell Goldberg (D)- 4.3%
Ted Lieu (D)- 60.0%
James Bradley (R)- 18.0%
Sara Sun Liew (R)- 6.5%
Kenneth Wright (NPP)- 4.5%

For this election, we saw 196,654 voters turnout and cast a ballot in this race. 71.0% of the vote went to a Democrat and 24.5% of the vote went to a Republican.

We will now see a November faceoff between Ted Lieu (D) and James Bradley (R). Lieu is the incumbent member of the US House of Representatives. Bradley is a US Coast Guard Veteran and does not hold office.

The registration gap is steep and resources are limited for November. I predict that Ted Lieu is going to win re-election.

Local Election Analysis Begins Tomorrow

We will begin posting an analysis of all Congressional, Senate, Assembly, and some local races tomorrow. Now that ballots are basically done being counted, we can give a fair and thorough analysis of what happened in each race and what to expect in November (in races that will advance).

Analysis will be completed for races that fall within these Counties: Imperial, San Diego, Orange, Los Angeles, Riverside, and San Bernardino.

Here is a list of all races we will be analyzing and what regions they are located in:

Congressional

8th District- San Bernardino
23rd District- Los Angeles
25th District- Los Angeles
27th District- Los Angeles
28th District- Los Angeles
29th District- Los Angeles
30th District- Los Angeles
31st District- San Bernardino
32nd District- Los Angeles
33rd District- Los Angeles
34th District- Los Angeles
35th District- Los Angeles, San Bernardino
36th District- Riverside
37th District- Los Angeles
38th District- Los Angeles, Orange
39th District- Los Angeles, Orange, San Bernardino
40th District- Los Angeles
41st District- Riverside
42nd District- Riverside
43rd District- Los Angeles
44th District- Los Angeles
45th District- Orange
46th District- Orange
47th District- Orange, Los Angeles
48th District- Orange
49th District- Orange, San Diego
50th District- San Diego, Riverside
51st District- San Diego, Imperial
52nd District- San Diego
53th District- San Diego

Senate

21st District- San Bernardino, Los Angeles
23rd District- Los Angeles, Riverside, San Bernardino
25th District- Los Angeles, San Bernardino
27th District- Los Angeles
29th District- Los Angeles, San Bernardino, Orange
31st District- Riverside
33rd District- Los Angeles
35th District- Los Angeles
37th District- Orange
39th District- San Diego

Assembly

33rd District- San Bernardino
36th District- Los Angeles, San Bernardino
38th District- Los Angeles
39th District- Los Angeles
40th District- San Bernardino
41st District- Los Angeles, San Bernardino
42nd District- Riverside, San Bernardino
43rd District- Los Angeles
44th District- Los Angeles
45th District- Los Angeles
46th District- Los Angeles
47th District- San Bernardino
48th District- Los Angeles
49th District- Los Angeles
50th District- Los Angeles
51st District- Los Angeles
52nd District- Los Angeles, San Bernardino
53th District- Los Angeles
54th District- Los Angeles
55th District- Los Angeles, San Bernardino, Orange
56th District- Imperial, Riverside
57th District- Los Angeles
58th District- Los Angeles
59th District- Los Angeles
60th District- Riverside
61st District- Riverside
62nd District- Los Angeles
63rd District- Los Angeles
64th District- Los Angeles
65th District- Orange
66th District- Los Angeles
67th District- Riverside
68th District- Orange
69th District- Orange
70th District- Los Angeles
71st District- Riverside, San Diego
72nd District- Orange
73rd District- Orange
74th District- Orange
75th District- San Diego, Riverside
76th District- San Diego
77th District- San Diego
78th District- San Diego
79th District- San Diego
80th District- San Diego

Other Local Races

District Attorney- Los Angeles
Board of Supervisors (2)- Los Angeles
Board of Supervisors (4)- Los Angeles
Board of Supervisors (5)- Los Angeles
Board of Supervisors (2)- Imperial
Board of Supervisors (3)- Imperial
Board of Supervisors (1)- San Diego
Board of Supervisors (2)- San Diego
Board of Supervisors (3)- San Diego
Mayor- San Diego
County Board of Education (1)- Riverside
County Board of Education (4)- Riverside
Board of Supervisors (1)- Riverside
Board of Supervisors (3)- Riverside
Mayor- Riverside
Board of Supervisors (1)- San Bernardino
Board of Supervisors (3)- San Bernardino
Board of Supervisors (5)- San Bernardino
County Board of Education (1)- Orange
County Board of Education (3)- Orange
County Board of Education (4)- Orange
Board of Supervisors (1)- Orange
Board of Supervisors (3)- Orange
Ballot Measure- Prop 13 Statewide
Ballot Measure- Orange County

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